Tuesday, December 3, 2013

When Luck trumps "The Process"

Given the way the Iron Bowl ended, it's natural to shed the spotlight too brightly on the one play that eventually decided the game. And it's easy to nitpick too. If you'd like to do some of both, this piece in the New York Times is a really good read. (h/t Mac)
Alabama quarterback A J McCarron is typically the holder on field-goal attempts when the first-team kicker, Cade Foster, is on the field, but Saban put Griffith on to try the longer attempt. Punter Cody Mandell was the holder, not McCarron. 
Perhaps if the more athletic, 6-foot-4 McCarron was on the field, he could have pushed Davis out of bounds. 
The process had accounted for the details of that move — Griffith for Foster, Mandell for McCarron — but what it could not do was stop Davis. It is doubtful, though, that the result is enough to stop Saban and others from turning to the process next week, and the weeks after that.
So basically, somewhere close to 99.9% of the time Alabama wins. But eventually luck is going to squeeze its way in there. The question now becomes, just how much Pixie Dust is street legal in Auburn AL anyway?

Nevermind. Dumb question.